Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 21, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has tallied 30.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 80th percentile.
The Nuggets have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.1) in the NBA to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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