Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 11, 2023

Updated Apr 12, 2023 2:01 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 29.4 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA this year.

Favors Under

The Lakers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 9 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
With the home court advantage, the Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces player production across the board.

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