Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans · Apr 9, 2023

Updated Apr 9, 2023 6:38 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +126 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 1.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the year at home.
Mike Conley has been on the court for 29.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA while on their home court this year.
When playing away from home, the Pelicans have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city usually improves player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Pelicans have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to decrease plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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