Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Brooklyn Nets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+132/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -164 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has totaled 1.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.5 higher than he's totaled in all games this year.
Mike Conley has averaged 29.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Nets have played at the 4th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The Nets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the league to their opposition over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road usually reduces player production in all stat categories.

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