Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 2, 2023

Updated Apr 3, 2023 2:53 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 29.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 78th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league when playing at home this year.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to more possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has been called for 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's been called for in all games this season.
The Trail Blazers have given up the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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