Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-160/+130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has tallied 1.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.6 more than he's tallied in all games this year.
Mike Conley has averaged 29.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 78th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league while at home this year.
The Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should increase plays for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally improves stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Lakers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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