Mike Conley Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has averaged 29.4 minutes per game while playing away from home this year, putting him in the 77th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-quickest pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Suns have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which should boost possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Suns have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to lowers player performance in all stat categories.

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