Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2026

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets · Mar 25, 2026

Updated Mar 26, 2026 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have averaged 45.5% on field goal attempts (9th-best in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, creating a positive matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 8th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Houston is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.2 foul shots per game this year when the Rockets are the visiting team (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games when it comes to three-point attempts.

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