Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 10/22/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Oct 22, 2025

Updated Oct 23, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season when it comes to 3-pointers.
Out of all players in the league, Mike Conley measures in the 94th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with a phenomenal 89.3% rate since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Trail Blazers may be a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has sunk 37.2% of his field goals since the start of last season, ranking him in the 10th percentile out of all players in the league.
The matchup vs. the Trail Blazers is a difficult one for three-pointers; opposing starting PGs have posted the 3rd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (29.8%).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league since the start of last season.
The Timberwolves rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing away from home since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley stands to experience a decrease in productivity in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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