Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/28/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 28, 2025

Updated May 29, 2025 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 10.7% higher than he's made overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.2 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 44.7% rate, Mike Conley's shooting performance has diminished this year to 37.7%.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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