Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/26/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 26, 2025

Updated May 27, 2025 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a positive matchup.
The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 6th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Thunder).
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 8th-best in in the league with 11.8 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.
Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 10.7% higher than he's made overall this season.
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder is a good one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 5.2 free throws per game this year (most in the league).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 44.7% clip, Mike Conley's scoring prowess has diminished this season to 37.8%.
The least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.

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