Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/20/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 20, 2025

Updated May 21, 2025 3:43 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has sunk 42.8% of his attempts from beyond the arc when playing at home this year, placing him in the 88th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, creating a positive matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to boost opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The matchup vs. the Thunder is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.2 free throws per game this year (most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has successfully made just 38.4% of his field goals this year, quite a bit lower than his 44.7 rate last year.
Relative to last year's 29.3 clip, Mike Conley's playing time has declined this year to 24.6 minutes per game.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with just 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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