Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 12, 2025

Updated May 13, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games as the visting team.
This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 38.4% on three-pointers (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Warriors, marking this as a strong matchup.
Among all players in the NBA, Mike Conley slots into the 90th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with an excellent 88.4% rate this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 7.2 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has successfully made a mere 38.2% of his field goals this year, significantly lower than his 44.7 mark last year.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 9thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 10.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Mike Conley will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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