Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 5/8/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · May 8, 2025

Updated May 9, 2025 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 42.0% of his 3-point shots while on his home court this year, placing him in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have posted 24.4 points per game (highest in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, making this a positive matchup for offensive output.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 5th-best in in the league with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.0% more than he's made in all games this year.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 7.1 free throws per game (highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has played a mere 24.5 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 29.3 minutes per game last year.
The most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

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