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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 5/6/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup against Golden State is a favorable one; when the Warriors are away from home, they have allowed the most points per game in the league to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (24.4).

Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.0% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 7.1 free throws per game (highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Mike Conley will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city tends to increase stat production in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Mike Conley has made a measly 38.7% of his field goal attempts this season, a significant dropoff from his 44.7 rate last season.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Golden State Warriors).

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