Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/30/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 30, 2025

Updated May 1, 2025 1:33 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-111/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to scoring, the Timberwolves's exceptional 119.0 points per game rates 6th-strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a favorable matchup.
Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's made overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Los Angeles Lakers may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.8 free throws per game over the last 10 games (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 44.7% clip, Mike Conley's scoring proficiency has decreased this season to 38.9%.
Mike Conley has played a mere 24.6 minutes per game this year, significantly lower than his 29.3 minutes per game last year.
The 3rd-slowest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Lakers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease plays for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 8thworst in in the league on the road with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.

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