Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Apr 27, 2025

Updated Apr 27, 2025 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+102/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Los Angeles Lakers are on the road (4th-most in the league).
Mike Conley should see a spike in efficiency for all stats on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has converted a lowly 39.1% of his shots from the field this year, significantly less than his 44.7 mark last year.
Relative to last year's 29.3 mark, Mike Conley's playing time has declined this year to 24.6 minutes per game.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 5.3 3-point attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Lakers, creating a hard matchup.
The 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Lakers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to decrease possessions for the Timberwolves.

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