Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/22/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 22, 2025

Updated Apr 23, 2025 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 20 games.
This year when they are away from home, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 15.6 shot attempts per game (7th-most in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers, creating a favorable matchup.
Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.3% higher than he's converted over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a strong one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 44.7% rate, Mike Conley's field goal performance has tailed off this season to 39.3%.
In comparison to last season's 29.3 rate, Mike Conley's playing time has tailed off this season to 24.7 minutes per game.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Lakers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 8thworst in in the league as the away team with just 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.

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