Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 19, 2025

Updated Apr 20, 2025 12:34 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -142 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
This year when they are on the road, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 15.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Lakers, designating this as a good matchup.
Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.6% more than he's converted overall this season.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Lakers, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has converted a lowly 39.0% of his shot attempts from the field this season, significantly less than his 44.7 mark last season.
The 5th-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 15 games at home, which should decrease opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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