Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/13/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Apr 13, 2025

Updated Apr 13, 2025 8:29 PM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 54.0% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 10.0% higher than he's made from downtown overall this year at home.
The Utah Jazz have played at the quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 7th-best in in the league while playing at home with 12.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 9.6% more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Mike Conley will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home generally improves player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 26.5% on threes (weakest in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Utah Jazz, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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