Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 10, 2025

Updated Apr 11, 2025 1:58 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-141/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 49.0% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 9.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Mike Conley has made 53.6% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.9% more than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
The Timberwolves check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a good one; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (22.8).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in further chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 8thworst in in the league without the home court advantage with a mere 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Mike Conley will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance across the board.

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