Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 4/1/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Apr 1, 2025

Updated Apr 2, 2025 2:09 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has successfully made 55.0% of his attempts from beyond the arc over the last 15 games, 12.0% higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
As it relates to shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 123.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 foul shots per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Nuggets, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 8.7 rate, Mike Conley's field goal attempts have tailed off this season to 6.6 per game.
In comparison to last year's 29.3 clip, Mike Conley's playing time has diminished this year to 24.8 minutes per game.
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Denver Nuggets, creating a difficult matchup.
The 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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