Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 30, 2025

Updated Mar 31, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 56.8% of his 3-point shots over the last 10 games at home, 13.2% more than he's sunk over the course of the year while at home.
The Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from squaring off against the most up-tempo tempo away offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Pistons).
The Timberwolves check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley has successfully made 95.8% of his free throw attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.3% higher than he's converted overall this year while at home.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.7 foul shots per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 37.4% on field goals (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Pistons, labeling this as a difficult matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA as the home team this year.

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