Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 24, 2025

Updated Mar 25, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has converted 52.1% of his 3-point shots over the last 15 games, 10.2% higher than he's converted from downtown over the course of the season.
In terms of scoring, the Minnesota Timberwolves's terrific 123.8 points per game rates strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games in their home city, which should lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.
The matchup against Indiana may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Pacers have the home court advantage (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has sunk a lowly 39.2% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly less than his 44.7 rate last season.
Mike Conley has averaged a lowly 24.7 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 29.3 minutes per game last season.
The matchup vs. the Indiana Pacers is a tough one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the NBA with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
Mike Conley will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.