Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 1:30 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has sunk 66.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games at home, 23.6% higher than he's sunk overall this year while at home.
The Timberwolves will likely see a spike in plays in this game from squaring off against the 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 3rd-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 13.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 8.7% higher than he's made overall this year.
Mike Conley stands to see an increase in effectiveness for all stats on account of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have tallied 4.6 three attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Pacers, identifying this as a hard matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 20 games when playing at home.
As a team, the Timberwolves have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe of late: 8th-worst in the league over the last 5 games, averaging a measly 19.8 foul shots per game.
The matchup against the Pacers may be a difficult one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.5 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the league).

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