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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 3/12/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-129/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

When it comes to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 117.7 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 8th-best in the league over the last 10 games.

The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.1% more than he's made over the course of the year.

The matchup vs. Denver may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home (3rd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 44.7% rate, Mike Conley's shooting effectiveness has diminished this year to 38.2%.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 20.5% on three-pointers (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, branding this as a challenging matchup.

The 7th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley should suffer a drop-off in performance in all stat categories in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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