Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 9, 2025

Updated Mar 10, 2025 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's made over the course of the year playing at home.
The matchup against San Antonio is a good one for three-point shots; when the San Antonio Spurs are on the road, the opposition's starting PGs have shot for the highest 3-point percentage in the league this year (48.4%).
The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 3rd-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 9th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home.

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