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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 3/7/2025

Miami Heat vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-142/+104).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).
  • Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate more chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 9th-best in in the league with 12.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
  • Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 9.4% more than he's sunk overall this season.
  • Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.8 free throws per game (3rd-most in the league) vs. the Heat, finding it easy to draw fouls.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In comparison to last year's 44.7% rate, Mike Conley's shooting ability has tailed off this year to 37.4%.
  • Mike Conley has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.2 more than he's been called for in all games this year on the road.
  • The Timberwolves have been the 4th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
  • The Timberwolves have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA this year.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which ought to reduce plays for the Timberwolves.

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