Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-137/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing away from home.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted 29.2 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, marking this as a positive matchup for offensive production.
The 10th-quickest tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 9.7% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Over the last 5 games, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 5.4 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) against the Phoenix Suns, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 44.7% clip, Mike Conley's shooting proficiency has been reduced this season to 37.0%.
Mike Conley has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 more than he's been called for over the course of the year on the road.
The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to decrease possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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