Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 27, 2025

Updated Feb 28, 2025 3:58 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-117/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a strong one for field goal attempts; when the Los Angeles Lakers are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 7th-most field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.6).
The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Lakers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.1% more than he's made over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Compared to last year's 44.7% rate, Mike Conley's field goal performance has dropped this year to 36.8%.
Mike Conley has committed 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from home, 1.3 higher than he's committed overall this season on the road.
Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player production across the board.

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