Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/24/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Feb 24, 2025

Updated Feb 25, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 7.7 3-point attempts per game (highest in the league) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, designating this as a strong matchup.
The Thunder have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank best in in the league with 14.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.1% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
This year, opposing starting PGs have attempted 5.2 foul shots per game (most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder, making it fairly effortless to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has converted a lowly 36.4% of his field goal attempts this season, significantly less than his 44.7 rate last season.
Mike Conley has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year.
Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally worsens player production across the board.

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