Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 24, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has attempted 9.4 shots per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.6 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.
Mike Conley has averaged 29.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 4.5 higher than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 7.7 three attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Thunder, marking this as a positive matchup.
The Timberwolves check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 10.1% higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which should reduce opportunities for the Timberwolves.
As a team, the Timberwolves have been bad at getting to the foul line playing at home: 10th-worst in the NBA this year, totaling a mere 21.1 free throws per game.

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