Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Chicago Bulls have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on the road, which should boost possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and produce bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 4th-best in in the league when playing at home with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.0% higher than he's converted in all games this year.
The matchup vs. Chicago is a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Chicago Bulls are the visiting squad (9th-most in the NBA).
Mike Conley will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board on account of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has made 36.4% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile among all players in the league.
In terms of shooting, the Minnesota Timberwolves's unimpressive 111.1 points per game playing at home ranks 7th-weakest in the league this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have posted 13.7 points per game (fewest in the league) against the Bulls, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games.

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