Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 2/1/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Washington Wizards · Feb 1, 2025

Updated Feb 2, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Wizards is a strong one; they have given up the 6th-most points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (20.2).
The Wizards have played at the 4th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.5% higher than he's sunk overall this year.
The matchup vs. the Washington Wizards is a positive one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.0 free throws per game this year (10th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has converted 36.5% of his shot attempts from the field this year, putting him in the 12th percentile out of all players in the league.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
In regard to drawing fouls, the Minnesota Timberwolves's poor 21.0 free throw attempts per game at home settles in as the 9th-worst in the NBA this year.

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