Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 26, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Timberwolves will likely get a boost in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-fastest pace team in the league this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Nuggets may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).
Mike Conley should see a spike in output in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has converted 35.2% of his shot attempts from the field this year, ranking him in the 10th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.5 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Denver Nuggets, resulting in a challenging matchup.
The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
When it comes to drawing fouls, the Minnesota Timberwolves's unimpressive 20.9 free throws per game measures as the 8th-worst in the NBA this year.

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