Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 18, 2025

Updated Jan 19, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-109/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 41.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Cleveland Cavaliers, labeling this as a strong matchup.
The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home court, which ought to increase possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 5th-best in in the NBA at home with 13.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Mike Conley will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally raises player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Mike Conley slots into the 9th percentile for field goal performance with a lackluster 34.7% rate this year.
Mike Conley has sunk a measly 1.7 treys per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 2.3 rate last season.
In terms of offense, the Timberwolves's subpar 108.1 points per game comes in as the 5th-lowest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Cleveland Cavaliers, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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