Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 17, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 2:04 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 3rd-most aggressive offense in the NBA as the away team over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has successfully made 2.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.0 more than he's sunk in all games this season away from home.
The matchup against the New York Knicks is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.3 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has successfully made a mere 34.1% of his shot attempts from the field this season, significantly lower than his 44.7 rate last season.
This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.8 3-point attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, designating this as a difficult matchup.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the league this year (the Knicks).
The Timberwolves rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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