Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers · Jan 6, 2025

Updated Jan 7, 2025 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Timberwolves have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PGs have shot 45.6% on shot attempts from the field (7th-highest in the league) vs. the LA Clippers, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 10th-fastest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the LA Clippers).
Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 11.3% higher than he's made in all games this season.
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the LA Clippers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has converted 34.2% of his field goals this year, putting him in the 9th percentile among all players in the league.
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 9thworst in in the league with just 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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