Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to 3-pointers, the Timberwolves's remarkable 15.1 converted threes per game comes in as the 4th-strongest in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up 21.2 points per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, resulting in a favorable matchup for offensive output.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 7th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has sunk 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 11.3% more than he's made over the course of the season.
The matchup against the Pistons is a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 5.0 foul shots per game this year (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 44.7% mark, Mike Conley's scoring effectiveness has fallen this year to 35.4%.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 6thworst in in the league while playing on the road with just 9.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Mike Conley will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.

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