Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 23, 2024

Updated Dec 24, 2024 4:01 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a good one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Atlanta Hawks have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PGs have totaled the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (7.6).
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from squaring off against the speediest pace home team in the league this year (the Hawks).
Mike Conley has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 44.7% clip, Mike Conley's scoring ability has diminished this season to 33.7%.
The 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks may be a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA).
Mike Conley will not enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally reduces stat production for all stats.

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