Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 21, 2024

Updated Dec 22, 2024 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 24.4 points per game (most in the NBA) against the Golden State Warriors, branding this as a favorable matchup for offensive performance.
The Timberwolves will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 6th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Warriors).
Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's converted in all games this season.
This year when they are at home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 7.1 free throws per game (highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Mike Conley places in the 9th percentile for scoring efficiency while playing at home with a poor 30.2% rate this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 4thworst in in the league at home with a mere 7.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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