Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New York Knicks · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 5th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.4% more than he's made overall this season.
The matchup vs. the Knicks is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.3 foul shots per game this year (6th-most in the NBA).
Mike Conley stands to get a boost in production in all facets of the game considering possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has converted 35.2% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 9th percentile among all players in the NBA.
This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 4.8 three attempts per game (2nd-fewest in the league) vs. the New York Knicks, labeling this as a challenging matchup.
The 4th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league this year (the New York Knicks).
The Timberwolves have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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