Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 15, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 12:05 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to 3-point attempts.
The matchup against the Spurs is a favorable one for scoring; opposing starting PGs have put up the highest FG% in the league this year (50.2%).
The Spurs have played at the 10th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 5 games, which should increase possessions for the Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 14.4% higher than he's sunk in all games this season.
This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PGs have attempted 4.5 foul shots per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has successfully made just 35.3% of his field goal attempts this year, quite a bit less than his 44.7 rate last year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the league while playing away from home this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves rank 3rdworst in in the league as the road team with a mere 8.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Mike Conley will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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