Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 9, 2024 1:31 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of three-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's superb 15.1 converted threes per game settles in as the 7th-highest in the league this year.
The matchup against the Warriors is a positive one for three-pointers; opposing starting PGs have shot for the 6th-highest three percentage in the league this year (38.4%).
The Warriors have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Mike Conley has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.6% more than he's made overall this season.
Over the last 5 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 7.2 foul shots per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has sunk just 36.8% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit less than his 44.7 mark last year.
The 5th-slowest pace team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Mike Conley will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to reduce player performance across the board.

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