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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 12/6/2024

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -102 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Mike Conley has converted 54.5% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 16.1% higher than he's made from downtown over the course of the year.

With respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 5th-most aggressive team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a positive one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PGs have compiled the 6th-highest three rate in the league this year (38.4%).

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games on their home court, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Over the last 5 games, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 7.2 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, easily managing to get to the foul line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 44.7% mark, Mike Conley's field goal ability has diminished this year to 36.5%.

The 5th-most lethargic pace road team in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league away from their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to decrease stat production in all facets of the game.

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