Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 2, 2024

Updated Dec 3, 2024 12:53 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-134/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Mike Conley has made 56.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 17.9% more than he's sunk over the course of the season.
Mike Conley has averaged 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.3 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
The Timberwolves have been the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home in regard to 3-point attempts.
Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 6.2 free throws per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Lakers, finding it easy to draw fouls.
Mike Conley is expected to see a spike in productivity for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has sunk a lowly 34.4% of his shot attempts from the field this season, significantly less than his 44.7 mark last season.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Lakers are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the 5th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
The Timberwolves have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 5 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Los Angeles Lakers).
The Timberwolves rank as the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).