Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-134).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's superb 16.0 sunk threes per game at home settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one for scoring; when the LA Clippers are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the 7th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (45.6%).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a whopping 4.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Clippers are the visiting squad (9th-most in the NBA).
Mike Conley stands to see an increase in performance across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has successfully made a measly 33.7% of his field goals this year, quite a bit lower than his 44.7 rate last year.
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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