Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 28, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

As it relates to three-pointers, the Minnesota Timberwolves's impressive 16.3 drained threes per game at home comes in as the 3rd-strongest in the league this year.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 6th-quickest tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 8 games (the Kings).
Mike Conley figures to get a boost in efficiency in all stat categories in light of possessing the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Mike Conley has converted a measly 33.5% of his field goals this year, quite a bit less than his 44.7 mark last year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league as the home team this year with respect to shot attempts from the field.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a difficult one; when the Sacramento Kings are away from home, they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PGs this year (15.2).
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Kings are away from home (8th-least in the league).

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