Mike Conley Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2024

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Mike Conley

NBA · Player Props

Mike Conley

G · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 15, 2024

Updated Nov 16, 2024 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to three-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 15.3 converted threes per game settles in as the 5th-highest in the league this year.
The 8th-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to see a rise in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-speediest tempo team in the NBA over the last 12 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Mike Conley has made 95.0% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
The matchup against the Kings may be a favorable one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 7.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

Favors Under

Mike Conley has sunk a mere 32.1% of his shots from the field this season, significantly lower than his 44.7 mark last season.
The matchup against Sacramento is a difficult one for 3-pointers; when the Kings are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have posted the 9th-lowest three percentage in the NBA this year (30.6%).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 2ndworst in in the league away from their home court with a mere 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Mike Conley stands to see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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