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Mike Conley

Mike Conley Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2024

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Conley Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point shots.

The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

Mike Conley has sunk 95.0% of his free throw attempts this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the NBA).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 44.7% rate, Mike Conley's shooting prowess has declined this year to 31.3%.

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 29.8% on threes (3rd-worst in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, resulting in a hard matchup.

The 10th-most sluggish pace away team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Mike Conley should suffer a drop-off in efficiency across the board as a result of playing away from home in this matchup.

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